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The Delphi Method

The Delphi Method is a method of gaining consensus within a group, which may be used to agree on task duration estimates. This is performed by first asking for task estimates, then sending a summary of responses back out to the team members, inviting them to modify their views in light of this feedback. This is repeated until sufficient consensus is reached.

A simple method of finding a 'middle point' from the final set of estimates is to use the following formula:

'Middle' = (Lowest response + (4 Average response) + Highest response) / 6

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